Selected Picks and Analysis for Belmont Park Thursday June 7th, 2018 by Spencer Luginbuhl (@handi_capper)

Use my top 2 picks in multi-race wagers bottom picks are used in filling out tris and exactas vertical wagers.

last week
2 top pick winners
wagered: 18
TOP PICK %=22%
win/loss: $11.49 (-6.60) R.O.I -37.00%
OVERALL
3 Days
wagered: 54
TOP PICK %=26% (7-27)
win/loss: 38.80 (-15.20) R.O.I -28.15%

RACE 1
5-2-6-11

#5 Throw the Deuce: This son of Union Rags has been out the most of anyone in this race, but he seems to be on the improve. Sire Union Rags is a pretty lousy turf sire 5% in turf sprints. I feel there is enough speed in here to set up his nice closing kick. Hoping for an ok M.L. price as there are some Negatives. Trainer Tom Morley isn’t the best with these types of races 1-26

#2 Wild Road: Trying a new turf shooter as none of the others have me too confident. Trainer Dallas Stewart is good shipping into Belmont at 18%. This is the Dams first foal, but the Tomlinson is a healthy 364.

#6Chasindamoney: I like that this one should show speed and has Saez who is a better turf jock. hoping that he runs ok it’s his first start off a long layoff but also his first start at three so there should be some improvement.

Race 2
5-6-1-2

#5 Professor Snape: This gelding has never been out of the money at Belmont or this 6 1/2 furlong distance. He ran very well in his last allowance race just missing against an outstanding Shug McGaughey runner. HIs previous three races in the exacta show he is in razor-sharp form.

#6 Street Vision: This son of Street Sense jumps up in class off a win first out for the new barn with a very nice Beyer (90) which fits the class Beyer par. Trainer David Jacobson is still 20% second off the claim, and it’s nice to see he protects him from the claim.

#1 Bugle Notes: This entry for Todd Pletcher seems to me that they are vulnerable. The one ran well breaking his maiden the Beyer is pretty low. He had one other horse break their maiden race, but they did that on turf. The 1A did run a faster Beyer in his maiden breaker, but the first allowance race leads much to be desired. He missed by a neck, but the lower Beyer tells me that field was pretty weak.

Race 3
5-1-6
really tough spread race

#5 Ascot Walk: Usually like to find a horse with a work over the track but at 8-1 going to take a shot. The sire Daaher seems to be very good FTS Sire winning at 18%. Also, Joe Bravo and Kiaran McLaughlin have been sizzling at 67% in a six starter sample with a huge 8$ R.O.I when they are together.

#1Kidoro:Chad Brown has the best FTS winning % by a wide margin. I know the rail is usually tough on a firster but hopefully, the beautiful gate work at Monmouth can have this one get out smoothly.

#6 Acting Chipper: The best of the local works and they are the two most recent. big negative which stopped me from putting on top is Michelle Nevin is 0-18 at Belmont with FTS in MSW races.

Race 4
9-1-2

#9 Bad Student: just missed at this level last time out over a mile distance now takes a small turn back. Since this son of Student Council has been in the Diodoro barn, he has been on the improve and with another small improvement he should be right there

#1 Very Very Stella: Got his second-level allowance condition out of the day at Penn National in his last start now takes a small jump in class. The Beyer he received for that last win fits in very nicely with this group.

Race 5
2-3-8-4

Race 6
7-4-1

Race 7
6-9-10-4

Race 8
10-8-2

Race 9
4-12-10

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