San Felipe Stakes

8 have entered the San Felipe Stakes, everyone is assuming it’s a two horse race between McKinzie & Bolt D’Oro. We break the race down for you.

1-Bolt D’Oro   he was last seen 126 days ago in the BC Juvenile where he finished 3rd at .70 ~ Bolt has had 4 lifetime races 3 of them victories ~ 2 of his 3 wins in GR 1 stakes ~ his bris figures have been 91-94-105-99 ~ his work on March 5th 4f :46.2  tells me he will run a big one ~ Javier Castellano rides replacing Nakatani

2-Lombo   coming into this with a 2 race win streak both of them at SA ~ his top bris figure is 88 ~ appears to be heading in the right direction but is he as good as the top 2? ~ we shall see today

3-Ayacara  trained by Keith Desormeaux & ridden by his brother Kent ~ ran 2nd to Lombo in his last ~ was blasted by Bolt in the Frontrunner ~ looks up against it today

4-McKinzie  this guy is the Derby Media’s #1 choice currently for the KY Derby ~ trained by Bob Baffert ~ he was placed first in the GR 1 Los Al Cash Call Futurity making him 3/3 lifetime ~ his bris figures have been 100-100-104 ~ hasn’t raced in 63 days ~ in the Sham he only beat 5 others & the Cash Call beat only 4 others ~ Mike Smith stays aboard

5-Aquila  just broke his maiden in his last start earning a 93 speed figure ~ is 2-1-1-0 at SA ~ goes way up in class today I just don’t see him being competitive in this field

6-Calexman  lone win was on turf ~ has some early lick but like Aquila I just don’t see him running well today

7-Peace   has 1 win in 4 lifetime starts ~ was thumped by Lombo & Ayacara in the Lewis ~ they are taking the blinkers back off ~ has the looks of an also ran

8-Kanthaka   today will be his first attempt past 7f ~ coming into the race on a 2 race win streak ~ 2/2 at SA ~ 99 is his career best bris figure & it was earned in his last start which was the GR 2 San Vincente ~ if the race completely falls apart he could be the one who picks up the pieces

Final Analysis:  McKinzie will most likely be the post time favorite, Bolt just doesn’t get the respect I feel he deserves. Last week Good Magic was the “flavor” of the week & melted in the Florida sunshine. I do see Bolt bringing his A game & will win the race. Lombo is a interesting long shot the light bulb has appeared to be turned on in his last 2 races. I’m expecting a very big effort out of him today. Kanthaka is a must use underneath

Betting Strategy:  exacta:  1/2,8  ~~ triple:  1/2,8/2,4,8 ~~ superfecta:  1/2,8/2,4,8/2,3,4,5,8  ~~ will play 2 saver bets  exacta:  2/1,8  triple:  2/1,8/1,4,8



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