Breeders’ Cup Thoughts: Filly & Mare Sprint and Sprint edition.

Breeders Cup Filly & Mare Sprint

Selections: 11-2-12-9

All gamblers, whether we are betting horses or sports, look for value. We all want the best return on our investment, however that value isn’t always there and you have to take who you think will win at a short price. That is where I end up with my selection for this race.
Unique Bella (11) didn’t look like she missed a step in her return to the races in the LA Woman at Santa Anita and has fired off bullet workout after bullet workout in preparations for this race. While this race represents her toughest task to date her best may just be better than this field and is hard to look past even at the short price (9/5 M/L). I expect her to be on or just off the pace from post 11.
Paulassilverlining (2) ran an uncharacteristically poor race last time out in the Ballerina after winning 4 straight including grade 1’s in the Humana Distaff at Churchill and Madison at Keeneland. She has been freshened up since August and should get a decent pace to chase in here looking to improve on her 3rd place finish last year.
Skye Diamonds (12) steps up in class coming off a pair of nice wins against fellow competitor Constellation. She is a stalker and will have to work out a trip from post 12, but is more than capable of hitting the board in here.
Finley’sluckycharm (9) has done very little wrong winning 7 of her last 9 races with 2 second place finishes. Speed has been the name of her game but she did show a new dimension last time out when she came from off the pace at Keeneland after being bumped at the break.
Others with a chance include the defending champ Finest City (4), Highway Star (10), and Ami’s Mesa (14), who comes in with good synthetic track form and should handle the dirt just fine.

A simple bet for me in here would be to go 11 over 2,9,12 in both the exacta and trifecta.

 

 Breeders Cup Sprint

Selections: 10-2-6-8

The race to settle the fastest dirt horse in the world offers up one of it’s best fields in recent years as we see the defending champ Drefong look to defend his title against a host of speedy and in form horses. I will take a slight shot at beating him here, but if the champ is on I wouldn’t be surprised to see a return trip to the winners circle.

Imperial Hint (10) has won 5 in a row, and while this is the toughest test of his career, he should sit a nice trip behind Drefong and Takaful. He has been away since September, but his recent works at Parx signals that he may be sitting on a big effort.
Drefong (2) was awesome winning the Forego in his most recent start and will look to defend his title here. I expect him to be battling Takaful early, but if the champ is on he is strictly the one to beat.
Mind Your Biscuits (6) may be better suited to 7 furlongs but I would be remiss to not mention the best NY bred in training. He also owns a nice win at 6F in the Grade 1 Dubai Golden Shaheen earlier this year. His last race was a puzzling no show effort behind Drefong at Saratoga but I expect a better effort from him in here and he should be coming with a big late run.
Roy H (8) has won 4 of his last 5 including an impressive performance last time out in the Santa Anita Sprint Championship. He is another that will look to sit just off the pace and hope that the front runners soften each other up.

A simple bet in here would be to box the top 4 selections in the trifecta and exacta, and then play a win/place bet on Imperial Hint who should be a decent price (9/2 M/L)

 

Have a happy Breeders’ Cup everyone! For any questions or comments feel free to reach out to me @JasonNYM on twitter or to the team @5minutestopost

Leave a Reply

Please log in using one of these methods to post your comment:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s