Saratoga: September 3, 2017, By Jeff O’Reilly

Race 1:

Taking a shot in the opener with (2) Mighty Zealous. In a race with a lot of early speed, his tactical speed should serve him well. He Should be just in behind the speed and when they start to back up he will be rolling late. (5) Big Zip lost at odds on last out. The 5.5 F he raced out was maybe a little to sharp. He will appreciate the 6F he gets Sunday. Is taking a Bit of a class drop here. If he fires he will be very tough in this spot. (1) Smokem’s Charm has a good amount of early foot which might compromise him late. He should stay on for a piece. I would be leery about taking him at a short price like he’s likely to be here.

Selections: 2-5-1

Race 2:

(10) Way Smart just missed at this level at first asking. Should improve second time and will be very tough here. Has tactical speed which should serve him well. (11) Piquet has been wide in every start and still runs on. If he can work out a trip from the 11 post he will be flying late. There is a good amount of early speed in here which helps set up his closing kick. (4) Dream Test set very fast fractions last out and nearly hung on. If she can rate a little more and not go as fast early she will stay on until the end. Should work out a good trip for Irad.

Selections: 10-11-4

Race 3:

(1) Conquest Bigluck E has the looks of a vulnerable favorite. Has been off for over 2 months and has just 3 works since. Only 2 in the past month. Will be a short price and I will gladly pass. (3) Rich Daddy will appreciate the 1 mile and 1/8 distance today. Has tactical speed and should be too far off the lead. Will be flying late and should be good enough to get the job done. (6) Carve might find himself alone on the lead. He has the best early pace figures which should work to his advantage. His back class should propel him to a good finish here.

Selections: 3-6

Race 4:

(3) Short Kakes has good early speed. There isn’t a ton of early foot in here and I’m betting he takes this field gate to wire. (6) Jump for Joy is second off the layoff and will be tough in this spot. Had a rough start and still ran on well. Pletchers numbers 2nd off the layoff can’t be ignored as he clips off at 25%. (2) Anna Rae takes a plunge in class on Sunday. She’s a bit of a plodder. Ran very wide last out and finished up even against much tougher. If she works out a good trip from the 2 hole she will be tough.

Selections: 3-6-2

(4) Woundeithhereyes should sit a dream trip just in behind the speed. She will get first run on the closers and put this race away quickly. Is taking a bit of a class drop which will only help. (5) Feed me Carats raced very wide last out and was full of run. Will appreciate the stretch out to the distance she will get on Sunday. Jeremiah Engelhart has had good numbers at the past few meets at Saratoga. His horses always run well especially going longer. (7) Cashless Society has good late kick. It’s JJ in the irons for Chad. The price will not be great. She had a dream trip last out and might get another one in this spot. If JJ can navigate well early this one will be very tough.

Selections: 4-5-7

Race 6:

(2) Lone Sentry didn’t have the greatest of trips at first asking. Should improve second put with Geroux getting the irons. (9) EJ’s Revenge has been working very well lately. Has a good pedigree for J Englehart. (10) Johnny Action adds blinkers and should fire out from the 10 hole. This meet if your forwardly placed on the grass it’s never a bad thing. If he clears early Johnny could be tough to catch.

Race 7:

(1) More Mojo hit the gate first out and still finished well. With a cleaner trip and good break she will be very tough in this spot. Brad Cox is 22% at second asking for maidens. (2) Miss Aliphant has been working up a storm. Has fired a couple bullets and looks ready to fire a big effort at first asking. (9) Indy Union raced very wide throughout and closed well into a slow pace. Should appreciate the added distance. Jose gets in the irons for Englehart.

Selections: 1-2-9

Race 8:

(5) Rublinda had an absolutely brutal trip last out. This ride will surely not be on Jose’s highlight reel. She steadied multiple times and still almost won despite the horrible trip. Will be a very short price but looks extremely tough in here. (4) Kahrumana has good early speed in a race that is lacking of just that. She should clear relatively easy and have some left in the tank for the stretch drive. (11) Overnegotiate has good tactical speed. That should serve her well in this spot to be forwardly placed here. If Johnny Velasquez can work out a trip from the 11 she will be staying on at the end.

Selections: 5-4-11

Race 9:

(6) Luz Mimi should sit an absolute dream trip here. There is a ton of early foot in this race and she should benefit from that. I expect her to take back a bit and let the speed run each other into the ground and take over in the lane. (8) Kirby’s Penny has a lot of early speed. If the other jockeys grab and don’t send out early, this horse has the class and speed to stay on. She will fire from the somewhat outside draw. (2) Stay Fond will take back and make one run. She has the best late pace figures and if this race completely falls apart she could pick up all the pieces and get he job done.



Race 10:

(5) Vertical Oak got involved in a crazy duel last out and stayed on okay to finish 5th. She face much tougher last out and should like the slight cutback in distance here. Nonna Mela made it look easy last out winning without being asked to do much running. Will face more pace pressure but has the class and speed to withstand it late. (3) Golden Mischief will be absolutely flying late. There is a good amount of pace signed on here and if thing collapse she could shock at a big number.

Selections: 5-4-3

Race 11:

(9) Blue Atlas looks like a very likely winner in the last here at Saratoga. Was a bit wide and cut out quick fractions. Stayed on well and almost got the job done. The second place finisher came back to win impressively. (7) Cross Multiply raced very wide last out for Contessa. He still finished full of run and should work out a better trip this time out. Leparoux, in my opinion, is much better it’s horses that are forwardly placed. Should get a good trip stalking the pace. (5) Scoopsie potato has been working well lately and picks up JJ in the irons. Joseph Orseno has good numbers at first asking and should be a good price.




Late pick 4 play:

5/1,2,6,7,8/1,3,4,5/1,5,7,9 $32

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