OFF THE TURF TODAY. Sloppy tracks can be very tricky to play and the track condition may change as the day progresses. I’ll do my best to provide updates based on how I see the track is playing.
#3 Kentucky Road loves an off track and has run well on the dirt and should run well here.
We have another Navarro-trained heavy favorite in speedball #3 Really that should not lose this race. Pass.
#11 Queen of the Party ran a very good race running two turns for the first time over an off track. She was drifting at the end of that race, but cuts back 70 yards here. She catches a good spot to repeat to try and steal this off the turf event on the front end. #7 Veblen Good has not run out of the money on off tracks in the past and actually has very good speed figures running over these surfaces.
There is very little speed signed up in here. But since Jose Delgadillo sent #4 Secured Position to the lead last time and tired while dueling, there’s nobody in here to duel with. Let’s see how far he can go this time without too much pressure. #6 Scrap Iron Phil gets a big class drop despite winning at a higher level two back under Nik Juarez. #2 Recapitulation fits well on figures. He has finished well at the end of his races and has shown an affinity for an off-track, but I’m leery of playing horses that Albin Jiminez is riding.
$7,500 beaten claimers are not my strong suit. Pass
With three wins on an off-track and figures to back it up, Big Bad Navarro should win withs race with #5 Ima Wildcat, with Jose Ferrer trying to steal it wire to wire. #4 Stress Test is an off-track freak at short distances but the question here is class. #7 Sterling’s Maximus popped a good number last time out on an off-track winning at the OC20k level.
If #6 Casino Call loses this race, there’s something wrong. Completely outclasses this field on paper, on class, and on speed figures. Wide open for second. Moving on.
#4 Chunnel and #5 Don’s Marsh. 8/5 ML and 9/5 ML respectively in a six-horse field. No money to be made here. Pass.
#1 Little Dipper beat #5 Beaux Arts handily at Monmouth in that maiden race. Beaux Arts went on to capture a statebred maiden race at Saratoga next out. The workouts are also phenomenal leading up to this race. I’m not really in love with anyone else in this field so unless you can find anyone else worth playing, I’d stick with Little Dipper to win and play her in Daily Doubles.
Your guess is as good as mine in this low-level maiden claimer. I would just wheel Little Dipper to all in this field in a Daily Double and see if we can catch a price.